This Week in Alberta - The Saga of Calgary Glenmore
Corey Hogan is in. George Dadamo is out, presumably to run municipally in Calgary.
Other candidates can still declare for the Liberal nomination by June 8th, but you have to figure that Hogan (the campaign manager of Dave Taylor’s ALP bid) would have the edge over any other challengers.
So how would Mr. Hogan fare? Well, at first blush, the riding looks like a lock for the Tories – the PCs handily won 51% to 33% in 2008, and 50% to 35% in 2004. Still, the 2004 results in Glenmore mirror those in neighbouring Calgary Elbow, and the 2007 by election there (after Klein’s retirement) saw Liberal Craig Cheffins win the riding by a comfortable 7% margin.
Now, the Elbow by election was obviously a different ball game since:
a) Ron Stevens, while popular, is no Ralph Klein.
b) The visceral hatred of Stelmach that flowed through Calgary in early 2007 seems to have dried up.
c) PC candidate Brian Henninger ran a fairly under whelming campaign.
But with what will certainly be abysmally low voter turnout, the Alberta economy cooling down, and a rumoured Danielle Smith Wild Rose candidacy to split the vote, this one might just make for an interesting race.
UPDATE: Former Liberal candidate and all around nice person Avalon Roberts will also try for the nomination.
Other candidates can still declare for the Liberal nomination by June 8th, but you have to figure that Hogan (the campaign manager of Dave Taylor’s ALP bid) would have the edge over any other challengers.
So how would Mr. Hogan fare? Well, at first blush, the riding looks like a lock for the Tories – the PCs handily won 51% to 33% in 2008, and 50% to 35% in 2004. Still, the 2004 results in Glenmore mirror those in neighbouring Calgary Elbow, and the 2007 by election there (after Klein’s retirement) saw Liberal Craig Cheffins win the riding by a comfortable 7% margin.
Now, the Elbow by election was obviously a different ball game since:
a) Ron Stevens, while popular, is no Ralph Klein.
b) The visceral hatred of Stelmach that flowed through Calgary in early 2007 seems to have dried up.
c) PC candidate Brian Henninger ran a fairly under whelming campaign.
But with what will certainly be abysmally low voter turnout, the Alberta economy cooling down, and a rumoured Danielle Smith Wild Rose candidacy to split the vote, this one might just make for an interesting race.
UPDATE: Former Liberal candidate and all around nice person Avalon Roberts will also try for the nomination.
Labels: Calgary Glenmore, Corey Hogan, George Dadamo
posted by calgarygrit at
8:24 a.m.
9 Comments:
Diane Colley-Urquhart was acclaimed as the PC candidate last night. It wonder how telling it is that the PCs didn't attract another candidate to contest a nomination.
Are things that dicey for the PCs in Calgary?
By
daveberta, at 2:31 p.m.
Seems Avalon Roberts has thrown her hat into the ring:
http://albertosaurustalks.blogspot.com/2009/06/and-plot-thickens.html
Corey will still be tough to beat, but Avalon ran there twice. If she can't put on a strong challenge, nobody can.
By
Anonymous, at 10:33 p.m.
"But with what will certainly be abysmally low voter turnout, the Alberta economy cooling down, and a rumoured Danielle Smith Wild Rose candidacy to split the vote, this one might just make for an interesting race."
You can hope, I guess. This is Alberta, after all.
By
Candace, at 2:29 a.m.
" ... b) The visceral hatred of Stelmach that flowed through Calgary in early 2007 seems to have dried up."
You forget how the Premire decided to send back a lazer for prostate cancer operations. This is just one of many things that he has done against Calgary. People are still angry about that.
The problem with the Alberta Liberals is that the leader believes in Global Warming/Climate Change and the name "Liberal" is hated no matter how good the policies suggested. Even though the Alberta Liberals say they do not represent the Federal LIEberals, the damage by Biffy and LIEberals does not help the cause in Alberta. To bad.
This will be an interesting election for sure. The Wild Rose Alliance Party seems to be the only alternative that the small "c" conservatives will vote for.
By
Clown Party, at 3:06 a.m.
No one else wanted the P"C" nomination because the party doesn't stand for anything. They'll still get their voters but they'll be shorter on volunteers than in the past. Anyone in it because they want to advance a policy would go with another party. Hence the pool was pretty much limited to existing politicians (politicians being a breed who are typically in it in order to be a politician). Ergo a sitting alderman.
On another note, I don't think that much love from Calgary for Stelmach has blossomed in the last two years.
By
Brian Dell, at 3:17 a.m.
It is just a by lection. You can analyse every which way you want but will have absolutely no value in measuring any type of general voter direction. Yawn, get it over with and move on.
By
CS, at 8:36 a.m.
OTOH, between a budget that I can only call mean-spirited, bill 44 and the recent kerfuffle over a piece of surgery equipment, Calgarians may not be as thrilled with voting for Stelmach et. al. as you think.
By
MgS, at 6:22 p.m.
Diane Colley-Urqhart will win this riding easily. She has a long history of volunteer work and representation in this area. Hinman will lose this one in his last hurrah. The only thing sweeter than his loss will be the batch of Taber Corn he will planting in retirement.
By
Anonymous, at 2:30 p.m.
The hatred for Stelmach is greater now- and it's justified.
Grit win here is more than a distinct possibility. All we need is the voters to show up.
By
Anonymous, at 1:15 a.m.
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