Tuesday, May 05, 2009

Springtime for Socialists?

Federal NDP support may be waning, but the Dippers do have a shot at taking the BC election next Tuesday (albeit a long shot).

They will have a slightly better chance at the Nova Scotia election, now set for June 9th. So over the next month, we'll get a pretty good idea of how willing voters are to toss out the bums and turn left, in the midst of a recession.

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9 Comments:

  • It's going to be really interesting to watch the Nova Scotia vote. The NDP are struggling to break the ceiling and finally form a government (they've got a popular leader, the brand overall is less so, and the Tories are targetting that), while the Liberals, who finally have a decent leader, are trying to run up the middle (or to second place) while the Tories and NDP tear at each other.

    By Blogger IslandLiberal, at 10:34 p.m.  

  • The Right is Organized (that would include the Liberals), the Left is split with the Greens, I think you can be assured of a Campbell gov for another 4 years. Suck it up. I hope I'm wrong, altho I don't wish Carole James on any province.

    Federally, 'the public doesn't want an election' meme is getting a little tired. Judging from what I read here (PB) on the Coronation, Iggy seems to be aligning himself with the Young liberals in the question of 'when to have an election'. The old guard are saying an election this year at the latest. I don't much like Liberals being a socialist, but the old guard liberals are right. The Cons have changed the parliamentary process and given much more time in power, they will have changed it forever. Then it will be too late and we'll all have to suck it up.

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 11:40 p.m.  

  • Gordon Campbell is tired and should be put down. He refuses to debate in his constituency. He's plastered all over the BC Liberal spots. But, he's grimacing and twitching all through the speech.

    By Blogger JimTan, at 12:21 a.m.  

  • As a BC citizen and having lived under a NDP priemer,and the Liberals for the past 8 years, I still stand behind Campbell. He took BC out from near bankrupsy to booming. The NDP were stagnet,chasing business out of BC with high taxes. Having had to deal with the NDP as government. They didn't have the intelligence to see that new business in BC was much needed rather than tax them to death. They just said goodbye BC. We will go elsewhere where we can survive.. If you thing people in BC have forgotten that, I don't think so. Carole James says she will bring the forestry sector back; she's just spinning her wheels. It will not happen under her. Marie

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 11:27 a.m.  

  • Let's check the facts.

    Campbell's Claim that Jobs Lifted Many out of Poverty Proves a Myth
    Welfare-to-work hasn't worked any better: report. Delayed government report shows no real gains.
    By Andrew MacLeod
    Published: April 27, 2009

    http://thetyee.ca/News/2009/04/27/Poverty/


    Socreds. NDP. Libs. Who oversaw the strongest economy? (Hint, not Gordon Campbell).
    By Will McMartin
    Published: April 23, 2009


    http://thetyee.ca/Views/2009/04/23/BCEcon/

    By Blogger JimTan, at 4:54 p.m.  

  • I always vote NDP federally but I'll be voting for Sterk this time out. The BC NDP have had terrible positions on electoral reform and crime and justice.

    I think the NDP will do fine at the federal level-Iggy is the dream Liberal opponent for dippers. Polls right now are completely unreliable and from my personal experience longtime Liberal voters are looking at finally giving Layton a shot now that the Libs have a Harper-like warmonger as their leader.

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 7:10 p.m.  

  • It's going to be really interesting to watch the Nova Scotia vote. The NDP are struggling to break the ceiling and finally form a government (they've got a popular leader, the brand overall is less so, and the Tories are targetting that), while the Liberals, who finally have a decent leader, are trying to run up the middle (or to second place) while the Tories and NDP tear at each other.All the NDP has to do is flip 2-3 seats to form a minority government. They could easily flip more than that - people are tired of Rodney and the Tories, which is not suprising since they've been in office for 10 years. I don't really know what the Liberals have in mind; they're something of a wild card, but it will depend on how the campaign evolves. There's a certain air of inevitability for the NDP. We'll see. They've led pre-election polls for months, the organization is VERY strong, and that's what will count come voting day.

    By Blogger JG, at 11:06 p.m.  

  • I live in Vancouver.

    I sit on the centre-left of the spectrum. I vote Liberal federally and NDP provincially. I will be voting for Carole James on Tuesday.

    Campbell has been a disaster for social justice in B.C. Let's remember the NDP left B.C. with a $1.2 billion surplus in 2001 which Campbell used to give the wealthy and business massive tax cuts. Poverty is a very, very visible problem in this city. Students have been hit hard too with tuition fees skyrocketing over the past 8 years.

    There are A LOT of voters in B.C. like me: federally Liberal, provincially New Democratic.

    When will the BC NDP smarten up and cut their membership ties to the federal party so us moderate leftists can feel welcome in a centre-left alternate to the right-wing Campbell Liberals?

    By Anonymous Antony, at 11:47 p.m.  

  • Gordon Campbell has very foolishly run himself as the party's main asset. He did the same in 2005 and the voters gave him a slap in the face. This election will be decided by the turnout. Gordo's enemies will be out in force. Will those fearing the NDP do the same?

    Carole James would still have won by holding Gordo to a small majority.

    Economy tops mistrust of Campbell in new poll
    By The Canadian Press May 6, 2009

    A new B.C. election poll finds one of Premier Gordon Campbell's major hurdles to winning a third term on May 12 is himself.

    Voters overwhelmingly rank Campbell and his Liberals as their top choice when it comes to handling the No. 1 issue of the election, the economy, but the second most important issue for voters is mistrust of Campbell.

    The online Harris/Decima poll was conducted exclusively for The Canadian Press and surveyed 1,000 people from April 27 to May 2.

    The poll found 48 per cent of respondents said the most important issue of the election is the party best able to handle the economy. But respondents also said the second-most important issue, at 22 per cent, is mistrust of Campbell.

    Jeff Walker, a senior vice-president with Harris-Decima, says voter boredom with Campbell after eight years as premier and the on-going B.C. Rail issue are likely reasons why the mistrust issue has risen to near the top for voters.

    The poll finds Campbell with almost 65 per cent support on managing the economy, but ranks New Democrat Leader Carole James ahead on handling health care and the environment.

    By Blogger JimTan, at 12:49 a.m.  

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