Wednesday, April 25, 2007

Take Two


The second Liberal Ad is similar to the first, adding the Al Gore glacier, a cute baby, and a few words from Stephane Dion.

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posted by calgarygrit at 1:16 p.m.

18 Comments:

  • Is it just me, or my browser, or a bad YT upload, or is it really hard to hear Dion? Could be technical - I can't imagine this is not a pro ad.

    I don't like manipulative imagery like the baby - but all parties seem to do it.

    The gavel bit, like I said last ad, is good.

    By Blogger Jacques Beau Vert, at 2:07 p.m.  

  • The ad is working already! ;)

    The Cons have dropped to 30% support in the latest Decima poll.

    http://www.thestar.com/News/article/207106

    By Blogger Reality Bites, at 2:49 p.m.  

  • Good commercial, the baby thing was a little over the top. I want the Conservatives out but I don't want the Liberals back in. Blech.

    Turd sandwich, or giant douche?

    By Blogger sinblox, at 2:53 p.m.  

  • That Decima poll seems a little off...we're due for a SC poll soon, so it will be interesting to see where they're at.

    By Blogger calgarygrit, at 3:04 p.m.  

  • Looks like a lot of minority governments ahead, as long as Dion and harper lead their parties.

    I wonder who will be better at making alliances?

    By Blogger JimTan, at 4:00 p.m.  

  • Good lord, the baby was a little much. Particularly since he/she looked a little terrified by the camera.

    I must say that the focus on the environment is not doing much the quell the "Dion is a one trick pony" arguments.

    By Blogger saphorr, at 4:44 p.m.  

  • I thought the baby was very, very effective.

    I wasn't moved by the message at all until I saw the baby and it clicked, "oh, this is what its about, my children! wow, its only occurred to me now."

    I've got some very hard thinking to do because of that ad.

    By Blogger Tarkwell Robotico, at 4:46 p.m.  

  • The first ad was awesome.

    This one's alright - the baby's a bit rich, and I don't know if the 'Harper broke Canada's word' thing has teeth either.

    But the first ad is very, very good.

    By Blogger Matt Bondy, at 6:13 p.m.  

  • Liberal ads are getting better. Only part that annoyed me was ignoring the LPC's part in "breaking Canada's word" or whatever ;) Oh, and I couldn't hear Mr Dion either.

    By Blogger Tylere, at 6:47 p.m.  

  • The ads won't play for me in Firefox from the website, so the second one gets an F from me, hehe.

    By Blogger Tylere, at 6:50 p.m.  

  • A Decima poll? Reported by the Toronto Star? Showed good news for the Liberals? What a shock!!! :)

    Seriously - another great ad. Now they need to evolve his image to being more than a one-trick pony, unless they have more confidence in the power this one issue will have at the voting booth than I do.

    By Blogger Robert Vollman, at 9:14 p.m.  

  • I think that the last election showed that the only pollster worth trusting is SES.

    By Blogger Matthew Naylor, at 9:47 p.m.  

  • Hands up those of you out there who--prior to seeing this ad--had *no idea* that Stéphane Dion felt strongly about the environment. Anyone? Anyone?

    I'm increasingly puzzled by this campaign. There's so much more they need to do to get the party back on the rails--both in terms of message and policy--and I'm sorry but hammering away at this one issue is not going to cut it with voters.

    For the Liberals, the problem is not one of lacking credibility on the environment file. It's a wider, deeper problem of confidence in leadership, of rebuilding trust, and of having a coherent game plan on how they would govern.

    By Blogger thirstyrobot, at 10:21 p.m.  

  • Not nearly as good as the first commercial. The first was completely positive. I gave the Conservatives nothing to swing at. This one has some openings.

    By Blogger John, at 11:20 p.m.  

  • How does the last election show that the only pollster that you can trust is SES? I have never ever understood this. Dan, you are a stats guy, perhaps you can post some insight in this comment section as to what genius polling methodology Nanos uses to get his polls so good. Is the secret to his success the way that he asks "Who are you going to vote for next monday"? What is the secret formula Dan? Do you know it?

    How do these other polling companies still exist with the great SES out there, how do they even get business? It must be painfully obvious to every business that requests a poll that only SES will get them the results they need. How does Nick identify the 1000 people that will give him the perfect

    It can not be a random fluke that the election results were within their margin of error can it Dan? Dan do you know if any polling company's final poll in the last election did not accurately predict the election result within the margin of error?

    By Blogger thebraintrust, at 12:18 a.m.  

  • I've got to admit I'm a little perplexed by the SES worship too. In 2004 they were the best because they polled the last weekend when no one else did.

    In '06, I think everyone was within the margin of error. A perfect poll from a perfect sample is rarely going to be bang on anyways so as long as you're within a few percentage points, you probably did your job.

    Gregg made the mistake of asking the momentum question first but I think the methodology was nearly identical for all pollsters.

    By Blogger calgarygrit, at 2:23 a.m.  

  • Don't you think the Liberals seem to be becoming a one-note party?

    By Blogger mezba, at 9:18 a.m.  

  • I think the head office strategy is to completely own one positive issue. Get the public to associate the Liberal brand with something besides AdScam et al. Once that is done, you just start adding other pieces.

    By Blogger Don, at 1:18 p.m.  

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