Sunday, June 27, 2004

Here We Go!

The polls open in the East in 12 hours time. I encourage everyone to vote - I can think of a good reason to vote for all the parties.

As for predictions...it'll be nailbiter. Coyne's site has collected various predictions:

Coyne Readers: Con 124 Lib 102 NDP 26 BQ 55 Ind 1
ElectionPrediction: Lib 122 Con 104 NDP 29 BQ 52 Ind 1
Globe/Ipsos: Con 117 Lib 101
CanWest/LISPOP: 115-106
Star/Ekos: Lib 117 Con 109

Throw in the fact that every opinion poll seems to have the Libs up by about 1% and it's definitely too close to call (yes, I know I already called it...silly me). As for my prediction:

Con 118 - 33%
Lib 112 -33%
BQ 53 - 11%
NDP 24 - 19%
Ind 1
Greens 0 - 3%

But hell, it could do either way. The way I see it, the Bloc will be at 50-55, the NDP anywhere from 20-27, and the two major parties...who the hell knows? Anywhere from 105-125 each.

As a result, you've got the first election worth staying up late for in a long time. Forget BC, the Yukon results might decide it. Or the recounts.